2024 U.S. Presidential Election Odds

Political Betting on the Rise

As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, political betting is on the rise. Several online sportsbooks now offer odds on who will win the Republican and Democratic nominations, as well as the general election.

Trump's Odds Improve Despite Conviction

Despite losing the 2020 election and being convicted of a felony, Donald Trump's odds of winning the Republican nomination have improved. According to the Polymarket prediction market, Trump is now the favorite to win the GOP nomination, with odds of around 40%. This is up from around 30% in early 2023.

Democrats in a Tight Race

The Democratic race for the nomination is much tighter. According to Polymarket, Joe Biden is the current favorite, with odds of around 25%. However, several other candidates are close behind, including Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, and Pete Buttigieg.

General Election Odds

In the general election, Trump is currently the favorite against Biden, with odds of around 55%. However, it is still early in the race, and the odds could change significantly as the election approaches.